The deadline for a nuclear deal with Iran is fast approaching while rumors swirl of a possible extension. At the same time, Iran has made clear its anti-American agenda and its designs for the Middle East. It has neither stopped its support of terrorist proxies such as Hezbollah, nor has it shown any sign of curtailing its nuclear ambitions. What will be the impact of a nuclear agreement with Iran? AEI experts are available to comment on the effects of such a deal.
Former long-time Senate Committee on Foreign Relations senior professional staff member and AEI Senior Vice President of Foreign & Defense Policy Studies Danielle Pletka:
For many who watch the Iranian nuclear weapons program and the ongoing negotiations, there has been no recovery from the jaw dropping moments of recent weeks when the United States conceded every single substantive demand that has been made of the Iranian regime. Possible military dimensions of the program? No worries. Inspections? No problem. Cooperation with the IAEA? Whatever. The reality is that there are no negotiations going on with Iran. We are simply arguing over the terms of our surrender.
Iran and rogue regime expert Michael Rubin:
Simply put, once administrations begin high-profile diplomacy, they too often will concede anything to keep hope alive. Tehran, like Pyongyang and Kandahar before it, senses desperation and understands the American political calendar. It knows if it digs in its heels, the White House will take a bad agreement over no agreement, regardless of Congressional unease. In effect, Obama and Kerry have become gamblers willing to risk everything just for one more pull of the slot machine lever. Unfortunately, when desperation trumps dispassion, the house—in the Islamic Republic of Iran—will always win.
Read Rubin’s full piece, “America’s ‘insane’ Iran approach.”
Former DoD analyst Matthew McInnis:
Expect the United States, its international partners and Iran to continuing haggling over a nuclear deal’s terms and implementation for months and years to come, even if some kind of comprehensive agreement is announced this month (or later in 2015). Congress must play a crucial role in helping to enforce the agreement and to prepare sufficient penalties for violations.
There are no indications Iran will restrain its proxies, allies and terrorist organizations – or stem its human rights abuses at home – if we get a nuclear deal. On the contrary, I expect more repression at home and more aggressive actions by Iran in the region, at least at first.
To arrange an interview with AEI Iran expert, or for other media inquiries, please contact AEI Media Services at mediaservices@aei.org or 202.862.5829.
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