Leading Off
Campaign Action● Pres-by-LD: Daily Kos Elections' project to calculate the 2016 presidential results for every state legislative seat in the nation arrives in Georgia, where Republicans have complete control of the government but where Democrats have the chance to make some real gains next year. You can find our master list of states here, which we'll be updating as we add new states; you can also find all our data from 2016 and past cycles here.
Donald Trump carried Georgia 51-46, a bit of a drop from Mitt Romney's 53-46 win. In 2012, every Obama state Senate district elected a Democrat while every Romney seat voted for a Republican; in the House, three Republicans and one GOP-allied independent won Obama seats and no Democrats took Romney districts. But the overall toplines mask a very important shift: Trump dramatically underperformed Romney in Atlanta's suburbs—the very phenomenon that has made the special election in Georgia's 6th Congressional District unexpectedly competitive—and Democrats may now have some new targets in both chambers of the legislature. (All House and Senate seats are up every two years.)
Last year, Republicans won exactly the number of Senate seats they needed to hold a two-thirds supermajority but fell two seats short in the House. In Georgia, it takes at least two-thirds of the vote in each chamber to override a governor's veto and to place a constitutional amendment on the ballot. GOP Gov. Nathan Deal is termed out next year and if Democrats can flip his seat while holding the GOP below two-thirds in at least one chamber, the new Democratic governor would be able to check the GOP legislature. Of particular importance: If Democrats can successfully block Republicans from drawing new maps when the 2022 round of redistricting comes around, they'd be able to prevent the GOP from once again gerrymandering the state.
from Daily Kos http://ift.tt/2pBV5cJ
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